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Amgen At A Crossroads: Analysts Question Capital Allocation, M&A,D-mab

Executive Summary

Amgen Inc. is going through a transformational time as many of its top-selling drugs are maturing and its latest potential blockbuster franchise tries to find a foothold in the market. While Prolia/Xgeva (denosumab) offers a lucrative lifeline for the big biotech, investors are getting anxious about the company’s future; pushing for a dividend and for clarity about its strategy.

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Biopharma companies raised $3.6 billion in Q1, with almost two-thirds coming from debt sales or follow-on public offerings. Seven of the 19 finalized mergers topped $500 million, but the biggest news was Valeant's attempt to takeover Cephalon. Lilly and BI signed the biggest deal of the quarter when they pooled their diabetes assets in an alliance worth $2.4 billion.

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